Lord Hadrian is a die-hard Arizona lover: whether it be cacti, Camelback Mountain, Sonoran sunsets, roadrunners or the Phoenix Suns, there's very little about Arizona I don't love (Jon Kyl and John McCain).
Other than that, I'm a staunch believer in placing myself in the shoes of those I'm debating and trying to see their point and I believe in the importance of remaining civil and keeping the discourse free of petty insults and name-calling.
Labeling is one of the worst tactics both parties utilize against one another.
Debunking Misconceptions, Part III
Disenfranchising voters since 1789
Coming to you live from the Tinfoil Bunker, headquarters of the Ron Paul campaign, here's Debunking Misconceptions, Part III - Der Untergang Edition:
Tonight's Big Number
The Myth that is 'Democracy'
Absurdities
Addressing Threats of Not Voting
We begin after the break!
It was not Senator Obama who called these comments disgraceful - in fact, it was David Axelrod who said we need to back off this and see it for what it is. On MSNBC.
This isn't Senator Obama's fault the gaffe is getting play.
This isn't his supporters fault.
This isn't sexism on the Obama camp's fault.
This isn't DailyKos, MyDD or anyone else's fault.
The reason this is getting play is for two reasons. Senator Clinton and the Media.
Kindly, quit fucking blaming Obama supporters for blowing this out of proportion. We have a right to be offended but we don't get to decide what runs on CNN, MSNBC, Fox or in the news media.
I hope you understand we don't have a direct line to Keith Olbermann. We just listen to the media too.
So stop with the hit diaries about Senator Obama being worse or this being Senator Obama's fault. It's the media.
Keith Olbermann will do a special comment on Senator Clinton tonight after her major gaffe involving the assassination of Robert Francis Kennedy.
I'm on the fence but I thought I'd throw a heads up.
Senator Clinton carries the great bluegrass state of Kentucky and delivers a wonderful speech.
Congratulations to her.
But, as was planned awhile back, May 20th is the day.
Debunking Misconceptions, Part II
Part two of our 534-part series, Better Know A... erm, excuse me. Part Two of Debunking Misconceptions - your at-random-times running commentary on what's being thrown around the intertubes.
This Evening:
The Number of States Senator Clinton Would've Disenfranchised
Why Winning West Virginia Was Irrelevant
The Only Person to Blame is Senator Clinton
OK. I'm seeing these going up and some are being scientific about it and others are just being wishful.
But I remember the run-up to the North Carolina and Indiana primaries and the spin afterwards where people back-tracked from their predictions and smugness once the real results came in.
So I want a repository of all predictions so when the results are tallied, the votes are in and the delegates are divvied out, we know where everyone stands with a click of the button, Ctrl+F and the user's name.
That means being honest. What are your expectations? What do you believe will transpire tomorrow - and no fifty predictions. One or two for both Kentucky and Oregon, perhaps a best or worst case scenario. If you want to explain your reasoning, that's fine. You can of course debate it, but don't stomp on people's predictions if they plan sweeps for their candidate or not.
Most expect a split, but once again, like in North Carolina and Indiana, the expectations game is likely going to be won by Senator Obama. Once again, the polls show a "tightening" of the race and people are beginning to whisper about 3 or 4 or 5 point victories.
If Senator Obama wins by 10+ points, it's again a win in the expectations game for their campaign. This seems obvious to me as Senator Clinton left the state and it's likely her internals showed there was little hope of closing the gap to 5, let alone 10. But it was a move that was too late with the media picking up the narrative of a big win in Kentucky and a tight race in Oregon. We'll see.
So here are my predictions. They don't include specific percentages but I do expect both to be double digits for their respective candidates.
------------------------------
Oregon - Senator Obama wins the state by more than 12%
Senator Obama, 32 Delegates
Senator Clinton, 20 Delegates
Kentucky - Senator Clinton wins the state by more than 25%
Senator Clinton, 34 Delegates
Senator Obama, 17 Delegates
So what are your predictions?
As the Primary winds down and as we draw closer to two more contests this upcoming Tuesday, the hit-and-run tactics have picked up.
As an Obama supporter, I feel it's necessary to discuss these hits and these potential smears, perhaps expose where they seem to fester most and if possible, debunk them or expound on how they are likely false.
I intend no malice, as always, but the last few days, I've seen a fever pitch increase in some members of our community when it comes to negativity.
Watch. She's not "Obama-biased" like Keith Olbermann. And she's awesome.
· WI-08: Wingnut plans to run as "conservative independent" (desmoinesdem)
· 50 percent of southerners say Obama better president than Bush (desmoinesdem)
· What Yesterday Says About Young Voters (Mike Connery)
· Max Blumenthal on the dysfunctional movement driving the GOP (Mike Connery)
· IA-Gov: Culver launches second tv ad (desmoinesdem)
· Hilarious Vid On Why We Must Vote No On Issue 2!! (Cliff Schecter)
· NY-23: Scozzafava Drops Out! (lipris)
· NY-23: Pataki Goes Rogue, Endorses Teabagger Darling Doug Hoffman (lipris)
· Dunne Considering Run For VT-Gov (Nathan Empsall)
· McGovern Grandson Looks to Challenge Thune in 2010 (Jonathan Singer)
· IA-03: Two potential challengers for Boswell (desmoinesdem)
· NJ-Gov: Daggett Goes After Christie and Corzine (Jonathan Singer)
